Helping the World's Poorest Nations Benefit from Global Trade
by Jean Anderson
Patrick Macrory
August 4, 2008
The theory that trade is
good for development is not really in doubt. The Peterson Institute for
International Economics, for one, has estimated that global free trade could
end poverty for 500 million people over 15 years. Most other economists,
including at the World Bank and the OECD, have concluded that lowering trade
barriers—unilaterally, regionally, or globally—is one of the most effective
ways to “develop out of poverty.”
But to make the theory a reality, developing countries must be able to
negotiate trade agreements that enable them to get the benefits of trade. As
yet, that has proved highly problematic.
A major reason is that developing countries do not have a great deal of
leverage when negotiating trade agreements with the developed countries, which
have many ways to exert pressure on the developing countries, for example, by
implicitly threatening to cut back on or withdraw aid. This is a reality that
is hard to change. However, another handicap for the poorer developing
countries is simply a lack of human capacity.
For example, Zambia, which is one of the world’s least developed countries, has
a stable government and a liberal trade regime, but its resources for
negotiating trade agreements are limited to a small handful of officials. Yet
Zambia is in virtually non-stop international trade negotiations: in the Doha
Round, in two overlapping regional associations that are aiming to create
African common markets, and, like many other former European colonies, in a
lopsided and time-pressured negotiation with the EU to replace preferential
access to the EU market with a reciprocal “Economic Partnership Agreement”
(EPA), under which goods from the EU will also have duty-free access to the
developing country markets.
In order to help level the playing field, the International Senior Lawyers
Project (ISLP), founded in 2000 to promote equitable economic development
(along with the rule of law and human rights) has implemented a program to help
develop trade negotiation skills in developing countries. In the last three
years, ISLP has conducted trade negotiation workshops in Botswana, Rwanda, and
Zambia, and it is planning future workshops in other least-developed countries
in Sub-Saharan Africa.
The Zambia workshop, which was funded by a generous grant from the Hewlett
Foundation, was conducted by three trainers. One had been a lead U.S. negotiator for the U.S.-Canada FTA,
another the head of the African Center for the Constructive Resolution of
Disputes (ACCORD), based in South Africa. The workshop participants—14 from the
government, three from the private sector—included lead trade negotiators and
others with no exposure to trade negotiations at all. The highlight of the
workshop was a two-day simulated negotiation, which the participants threw
themselves into with great gusto. All agreed that the workshop had taught them a
great deal about the techniques of negotiating trade agreements.
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The experience underscored how critical capacity building is for trade
negotiations for countries like Zambia. If the EPA with the EU is not
negotiated effectively, a deluge of imports from Europe could cripple Zambia’s
efforts to diversify its economy and to encourage value-added industries.
It appears that in the EPA negotiations the EU used a “divide-and-conquer”
approach, putting pressure on individual countries to sign in order to continue
their preferential access to the EU. Once one country had signed, the pressure
on its neighbors to sign was enormous, since if they did not sign, their
exports to the European market would be at a competitive disadvantage vis-à-vis
the signer.
Perhaps the developing countries would have been able to strike a better
bargain with the EU if they had taken a unified approach. However, as explained
above, the least-developed countries have little substantive leverage. But
improving their technical negotiating skills may enable them to strike better
bargains. wt
M. Jean Anderson, a Partner at Weil Gotshal & Manges LLP, practices
international trade law in the firm’s Washington, D.C. office. Patrick Macrory,
formerly an international trade lawyer in Washington, is the Trade Negotiation
Training Program Manager for the International Senior Lawyers Project and
Director of the International Trade Law Center of the International Law
Institute.
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