Top U.S. Trading Partners
July 30, 2007
Few
business strategies attract as much debate as sending business functions to a
new location. But if making a direct foreign investment may no longer be the
risky proposition it once was, many decision-makers feel increasingly
bewildered by the range of choices before them.
The questions are legion: What functions can safely be performed in remote
locations? Which countries offer the best combination of skills, costs and
attractive business conditions? How important is proximity to customers and to
corporate leadership? What about language differences? Cultural barriers?
Transaction costs?
Then there are the risks associated with off-shoring. Are the cost savings
really sustainable? Are wage inflation and attrition in the most popular
locations undermining the potential advantages? Is it possible to maintain
required levels of security and customer service quality in remote foreign
locations? How can continuity of critical business functions be ensured ?
To help decision-makers answer these questions, A.T. Kearney developed the
Global Services location index (GSli). The index evaluates 40 countries as
potential locations for the most common remote services, which are grouped into
three categories: financial attractiveness, people skills and IT availability,
and business environment.
A regional snapshot shows that Southeast Asian countries offer a diverse mix of
costs, skills and environment, and continue to perform well. The range of
Central and Eastern European countries offering low-cost locations for European
markets continued to push eastward, with Bulgaria, Slovakia and Romania all
appearing for the first time. Several Latin American countries, led by Chile
and Brazil, continue to perform well, but are being squeezed by new contenders
elsewhere in the world. Finally, the Middle East and Africa offer interesting
new options, as countries including Egypt, Jordan, the United Arab Emirates and
Ghana perform well.
With their huge populations, increasingly strong educational output and low
labor costs, India and China are clearly top of mind as remote services
locations. However, they occupy different positions in the global services
supply market. India has been developing this sector for almost 20 years and
offers a complete range of services, from IT and contact centers to back-office
processes, R&D and analytics. The concept of China as a services location
has only evolved in the past five years, and the scale of IT its sector is tiny
by comparison.
India
From
its humble start in the 1980s, India has gradually moved from providing simple
code remediation and data entry to offering sophisticated IT solutions and
IT-enabled business process management. Increasingly, local vendors and global
multinationals are locating high-end research and analytics, content and
design, and product development activities in India. Today, it is difficult to
find functions that India cannot provide.
Still, India faces a number of obstacles. An unwieldy bureaucracy, a heavy
regulatory system and poor infrastructure dampen the country’s attractiveness.
Ironically, the very success of the Indian remote services sector is weakening
its leadership position. The increasing demand for trained professionals in
cities such as Bangalore, Mumbai and New Delhi is pushing wages up by 10 to 20
percent per year.
China
Although
China remains primarily a regional hub, new capabilities are quickly
transforming the country into a global service provider. As local and
international demand grows, service centers are moving up the value chain from
low-end processing and programming functions to advanced IT applications and
financial services. Knowledge of English is also spreading fast (some schools in
China are teaching mathematics and science courses in English). To address a
shortage of management talent, Chinese companies are recruiting experienced
managers from countries such as Singapore, the Philippines and India.
Weaknesses remain, however. While intellectual property protection will
continue to improve with World Trade Organization accession, companies continue
to report that enforcement is not as stringent as it could be. Longer-term
economic and political stability remain a concern. Companies are caught between
rapidly rising costs and turnover rates in the major coastal centers.
Singapore
Although
Singapore has high wage levels, it has built a reputation as a secure location
for sensitive high-end activities, with an emphasis on business continuity, IP
protection and data privacy. Its excellent infrastructure, high-quality
workforce and global integration have long made Singapore the country of choice
for many multinationals with Asia-Pacific operating hubs. And because it offers
a prime market for high-end services that require reliability and advanced
skills, Singapore is popular among financial institutions as a complement to
global operations in London and New York.
Malaysia
Because
it does not have the cost structure or scale to compete at the low end,
Malaysia is establishing itself as a major global hub for high value-added
shared services, focusing on the finance, logistics and energy sectors.
Philippines
Despite
political instability and infrastructure weaknesses, the Philippines continues
to benefit from the global exposure and the English language skills of its
workforce. The country tops the financial attractiveness component of the
index. Low costs, a well-educated population, English and traditional ties to
the United States give the country an edge, particularly among American
companies.
As in India, however, the Philippines’ success is raising concerns over wage
inflation and attrition. This is particularly worrisome because the vast
majority of the sector is concentrated in the Manila region.
Thailand
Although
Thailand has yet to replicate the Philippines’ success, it has a competitive
cost structure, a solid education system and a business-friendly
environment—all the requirements to become a serious competitor.
Vietnam
Vietnam
is an emerging off-shore contender. It has a cost advantage, even over
traditional low-cost destinations of China and India. Japanese companies in
particular are off shoring IT work to Vietnam. Constrained by a relatively weak
business environment and shallow talent pool, Vietnam will likely replace India
as a low cost supplier of low-end processing work as India focuses on more
advanced services.
Central and Eastern Europe
Central
and Eastern Europe continue to be preferred destinations for European companies
seeking alternative locations for their services. Although costs are higher
than for many Asian locations, Central and eastern European countries offer a
well-educated labor force, strong language skills and, importantly, proximity
to Western European customers.
Gradual accession into the European Union and implementation of EU law ensure a
stable and predictable political climate that makes investments more secure.
According to data from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development,
more than 20 percent of all offshore projects of European firms in recent years
have gone to central and eastern Europe.
However, as the most advanced central European countries catch up to their
western neighbors, the cost advantage
is beginning to erode. The same economic forces that moved functions to Prague
and Budapest are now driving companies to consider secondary countries such as
Romania and Bulgaria.
Czech Republic
The
Czech republic remains the most attractive offshore destination in the region.
It offers competitive compensation costs within the IT sector relative to
regional competitors, a highly skilled labor force and reliable infrastructure.
Siemens, Honeywell and IBM have started operations in the Czech Technology Park
in Brno.
Poland
Relatively
slower reforms and higher wages have lowered Poland’s ranking. On the positive
side, it has a sizeable labor force and more urban centers that can support
large scale operations, more so than many other countries in the region. Poland
has attracted major R&D and engineering centers to the Krakow region, and
European finance and accounting centers to various regions.
Slovakia, Bulgaria, and Romania
As
costs rise in Poland, Hungary and the Czech republic, lower-cost alternatives
such as Slovakia, Bulgaria and Romania are becoming increasingly attractive,
offering a highly-skilled labor force with technical skills. EU membership will
likely reduce their cost advantage, leading companies to look even further east
to Russia, Ukraine and the other former Soviet countries.
Russia
Russia
offers a challenging business environment given the uncertainty surrounding
future policy toward foreign investors. However, with excellent technical
universities, a world-class aerospace and defense industry, and the third
largest concentration of scientists per capita, Russia offers unique
capabilities in highly specialized engineering and applied sciences. Still, a deteriorating
local industrial base offers few opportunities for top talent and creates an
excess supply for foreign investors in the IT and engineering industries.
Latin America
With
the exception of Chile, all Latin American countries in the index slipped
slightly in this year’s rankings, mainly due to several new contenders in
Eastern Europe and the Mediterranean region. Nevertheless, Latin American
countries remain attractive for providing near-shore services to the North
American market and the Spanish speaking markets in the United States and
Spain. As governments recognize the growing importance of this sector, we
expect to see significant improvements in the skill base, infrastructure and
regulatory environment.
Chile
Despite
its relatively small population and high wages, Chile ranks top in the business
environment category due to low risk, a stable political environment and high
quality infrastructure. Although the available labor force is limited, the
country scores better on international education tests than its neighbors. The
government is also seeking to boost skill levels through increased spending on
education, on-the-job training programs, and special initiatives to expand
English language skills. Privatization and a strong regulatory environment have
created a competitive telecommunications market with an advanced
telecommunications infrastructure.
Brazil and Mexico
Brazil
and Mexico have large IT and business services sectors that generally surpass
those of India and China in scale and sophistication. However, because of the
plentiful opportunities in their home markets, companies and governments in
both countries have, until recently, focused little attention on export
opportunities.
With a large population and strong technical skills, particularly in the IT,
engineering and pharmaceutical sectors, Brazil continues to score well in the
people and skills availability category. Already, large numbers of
multinationals have established major global IT and shared services centers
there.
Mexico, like Brazil, offers a large population and a well-developed domestic
market. It also benefits from proximity and favorable access to the U.S.
market. However, both countries remain challenged by the continuing weakness of
their broader education systems, poor infrastructures and the rigidity of their
labor regulations.
Costa Rica
Despite
its small size, Costa Rica has enjoyed considerable success as a location for
call centers and shared services centers that serve the U.S. market. However,
the capacity of the Costa Rican workforce is limited, and the country’s
attractiveness is dragged down by the poor quality and high cost of
telecommunications.
Panama
Panama
is seeking to build on its relative stability and reputation as a financial
center. It is using some of its former U.S. military facilities to become
another location for shared services centers serving the U.S. market. Yet low rental costs and wages are partially
offset by high telecom and energy costs and relatively rigid labor laws.
Jamaica
Jamaica
and the other English-speaking islands of the Caribbean have also been enjoying
increasing success serving U.S. and UK markets. A significant drawback has been
the islands’ aging telecom and electricity infrastructures, but plans for
additional fiber optic connections to North America are in the works and
multinational utility companies are investing in the power network.
Middle East and Africa
Countries
in the Middle East are newcomers to the off-shoring industry, but they have
many attributes that make them attractive locations for shared services. In
many ways, parts of the Middle East are similar to India in the early 1990s:
They feature low compensation costs, highly educated technical workers, and
historical exposure to English and other European languages. They also benefit
from similar time zones and proximity to Western Europe. Governments are trying
to strengthen their position by improving their telecom infrastructures,
creating high-tech industry parks, and updating education systems to better
meet the needs of the knowledge economy.
Authorities in Dubai (and to some extent, the other emirates and
neighboring Gulf States) are promoting the region as a low-risk alternative to
India. It offers all the advantages of a workforce imported from South Asia
along with a solid infrastructure and attractive tax. wt
|